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Visit Michael Sautter's column >>

MICHAEL SAUTTER

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Articles Posted: 910  Links Seeded: 7454
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Update: Mydree's NFL Picks

Mon Sep 24, 2007 1:52 PM EDT
sports, nfl, pick, mydrees-nfl-pick
By Michael Sautter
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I did not lose any imaginary money this week, however I did not win any either.

Week 3: Push, bankroll is $110.
Line: Colts -6 over Texans.
Score: Colts 30, Texans 24.
I had to take another ten imaginary dollars out of my imaginary pocket to bet $110 dollars this week.
Up or Down: I am still down $10.

Week 2: Bengals lose for me, bankroll is $100.
Up or Down: down $10.
Week 1: Steelers win for me, bankroll $210.
Up or Down: up $100.

Initial funds: $110 of imaginary money.

Season Record: 1 win, 1 loss, 1 push.

 

"A gambler with a system must be, to a greater or lesser extent, insane."
      - George Augustus Sala (1828-95), English writer and journalist

 

Guidelines for My Weekly Pick

Note: risking 110 to win 100 each week with a point spread.

1. Pick a Favorite.
Underdogs are underdogs for a reason so I will rarely pick an underdog and if I do they will only be a dog by a point or two.

2. No Double Digit Favorite.
These are professional teams after-all and even giving so-called bad teams ten or more points is not a good idea.

3. Try to Avoid Division Rivals.
Especially when the game is played at the underdog's home or on prime time TV.

4. Keep Emotion Out of the Pick.

 

Why Just One Pick?

I think a lot of people try to pick too many games. I want to see what happens if I limit myself to picking just the best game each week.

Future Picks

I will post my pick Fridays by Noon ET.

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  • Public Discussion (1)
Michael Sautter

This week's pick shows how important the point spread is. Some sites by Sunday had the Colts as a 7 point favorite. If you had that spread then you would have lost this bet.

  • 1 vote
Reply#1 - Mon Sep 24, 2007 1:58 PM EDT
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